Moneyball

MoneyballSo there have been a lot of posts out there about Moneyball and how it directly relates to Agile and the Lean Startup. However, I finally got around to watching the move tonight (thanks to my colleague Renee Troughton for lending me the Blu Ray) and had to note down my own thoughts. There are so many good quotes and scenes from the movie, but here are just a couple of standouts (warning, some folks may consider these to be spoilers if you have not seen the movie!)

Right at the start of the movie Billy Beane is talking to the team owner about needing more money (sounds like the start of any typical traditional project to me!)

Billy: I can’t compete against a hundred and twenty million payroll with thirty eight million dollars.
Schott: We’re not gonna compete with these teams that have big budgets. We’re gonna work with the constraints that we have and you’re gonna get out and do the best job that you can recruiting new players. We’re not gonna pay seventeen million dollars a year to players.

And a little later in the scene, Billy sets his goal.

Billy: That’s my bar. My bar is here. My bar is to take this team to the championship.

At the scout’s meeting, their discussion is all about appearances rather than understanding and building a team.

Scout: Ugly girl friend means no confidence.

In that same meeting, I really enjoyed the scene where Billy is in the position of a coach/facilitator and keeps asking them if they understand the problem!

Grady: We’re trying to solve a problem here.
Billy: Not like this you’re not. You’re not even looking at the problem.
Grady: We’re very aware of the problem.
Billy: Okay, good. What’s the problem?
Grady:  Okay, Billy. We all understand what the problem is. We have to replace…
Billy: Good. What’s the problem?
Grady: The problem is we have to replace three key players.
Billy: No. What’s the problem?
Poloni: Same as it’s ever been. We’ve gotta replace these guys with what we have existing.
Billy: No! What’s the problem, Barry?
Barry: We need three eight home runs, a hundred twenty R.B.I’s and forty seven…
Billy: Aaahhh! The problem we’re trying to solve is that there are rich teams and there are poor teams, then there’s fifty feet of crap, and then there’s us. It’s an unfair game. And now we’re being gutted, organ donors for the rich. Boston has taken our kidney’s, Yankees takin’ our heart and you guys are sittin’ around talkin’ the same old good body nonsense, like we’re selling deeds, like we’re looking for Fabio. We got to think differently!

A little later in that scene, Billy is really trying to make the committee think differently, but they are just thinking in the same old ways.

Billy: If we try to play like the Yankees in here, we will lose to the Yankees out there
Grady: Boy, that sounds like fortune cookie wisdom to me, Billy.
Billy: No, that’s just logic.

I really liked the scene where Billy is talking with Art about his contract. The final line of the conversation reminded me of many wasted meetings.

Billy: Good meeting. Everytime we talk, I’m reinvigorated by my love of the game.

And then there are always the nay-sayers and (in the case of Grady) those who will always try to bring your approach down.

Announcer: Do you see this as a decimation of the whole team?
Grady: I think that he bought a ticket on the Titanic.
Announcer: Oh, boy! He’s tried to come up with a new approach, my hat’s off to him. It won’t work.

The discussion between Billy and Peter about cutting players was a good reminder of being honest and transparent.

Billy: They’re professional ball players. Just be straight with them. No fluff, just facts. ‘Pete, I gotta let you go. Jack’s office will handle the details.’
Peter: That’s it?
Billy: Would you rather get a bullet to the head, or fire to the chest or bleed to death?
Peter: Are those my only two options?

There was an interesting little scene regarding soda, that is a good reminder that sometimes you can be penny smart but pound foolish (the little things are sometimes what keeps individuals and teams motivated).

Justice: And how come soda is a dollar in the club house? Cause I’ve never seen it like that.
Peter: Billy likes to keep the money on the field.
Justice: Soda money? Really? Where on the field is the dollar I’m paying for soda?

The scene where Billy shakes up the team by firing some of his all-stars was the turning point that shows that sometimes your superstars are hiding the real talent (and sometimes you need to do something extreme to make a change). Art is the classic Project Manager in this scene.

Art: Yeah, I don’t wanna go through team rounds, Billy. The line up card is mine. And that’s all, okay?
Billy: The line up card is definitely yours, I’m just saying you can’t start Pena first.
Art: Well, I am starting him at first.
Billy: I don’t think so, he plays for Detroit now.

There are some good inspirational pieces in the film (like when Billy asks Justice to step up and be a leader for the younger guys). This quote is my favourite though.

Billy: Everybody, listen up! You may not look like a winning team, but you are one. So, play like one tonight.

The big speech when Billy is at the Red Sox resonates with anybody who has tried to implement Agile in a team before.

For forty one million, you built a playoff team. You lost Damon, Giambi, Isringhausen, Pena and you won more games without them than you did with them. You won the exact same number of games that the Yankee’s won, but the Yankee’s spent 1.4 million per win and you paid 260 thousand. I know you’ve taken it in the teeth out there, but the first guy through the wall. It always gets bloody, always. It’s the threat and not just the way of doing business, but in their minds it’s threatening the game. But really what it’s threatening is their livelihoods, it’s threatening their jobs, it’s threatening the way that they do things. And every time that happens, whether it’s the government or a way of doing business or whatever it is, the people are holding the reins, have their hands on the switch. They will bet you’re crazy. I mean, anybody who’s not building a team right and rebuilding it using your model, they’re dinosaurs. They’ll be sittin’ on their ass on the sofa in October, watching the Boston Red Sox win the world series.

Near the end, when Peter shows Billy the video about the guy hitting the home run, they starting mentioning metaphors (I was so thinking about the metaphor in XP at that point!)

Also, the Lenka song “The Show” made me think about why as Agile coaches we get up in the morning and do this (plus good to see Australian music in the movie!)

I am just a little lost in the moment
I’m so scared but I don’t show it
I can’t figure it out
It’s bringing me down I know
I’ve got to let it go
And just enjoy the show


For those who haven’t seen the movie, it is well worth the time spent. I hadn’t realised Aaron Sorkin had worked on the screenplay, so for that alone it had to be good!

Episode 29: Offshoring at IBM

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IBMCraig, Tony and Renee talk about the news Scrum Inc style, discuss the coolness of Lego for reporting, chat about Net-Map and discuss the state of IBM.

Quotes:

“Anyone who has never made a mistake has never tried anything new” – Albert Einstein

“The greatest waste is failure to use the abilities of people. Learn their frustrations and contributions they’re eager to make” – Deming

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Episode 28: Lean Starts Us Up and The Agile Top 20

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Lean StartupCraig, Tony and Renee go all Lean Start Up and look at who made the Agile charts.

TheAgileRevolution-28 (43 minutes)

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AWS Lean Startup Event 2012

AWS Lean CloudThe planets aligned this week which meant that I was in Sydney for the Amazon Web Services Regional Premier Lean Startup Event, with the highlight being able to hear from Eric Ries, author of The Lean Startup. A huge thanks to my friends at Slattery IT who got me registered for this event. Here are my notes from the event.

Eric Ries – The Lean Startup

I am a huge fan of the Lean Startup movement, so it was a thrill to hear directly from Eric Ries. His talk mirrored others of his that can be found all over the web and the content followed much of what is available in the book, but it was inspiring and awesome nonetheless.

From Miscellaneous

This is a copy of a similar presentation from another conference.

Here are some of my notes from the talk.

  • you can now rent the means of production and compete with big players
  • join the global conversation at #leanstartup
  • this is the boring part of entrepreneurship
  • Ghostbusters is the original movie on entrepreneurship
  • startup = experiment
  • we live in a time where we can build anything we can imagine – need to ask not can it be built but should it be built…
  • entrepreneurship is management
  • most products Eric has built have failed!
  • Frederick Winslow Taylor stated things that are obvious now yet had to be invented then – work needs to be done as efficiently as possible and breaking work into tasks
  • all of the tools of general management are based on planning and forecasting – but making an accurate forecast relies on a long operating history – need a new entrepreneurial toolkit because the world is filled with uncertainty
  • the pivot – successful entrepreneurs did not have a better idea, they take the leanings and change the direction without changing the vision
  • runway should not be amount of money remaining but amount of pivots remaining
  • achieving failure is successfully executing a bad plan – this is like getting good fuel mileage when driving a car off a cliff
  • the lean revolution was led by W. Edwards Deming and Taiichi Ohno
  • Agile only works well if you know who the customer is
  • failure is the great equaliser of quality
  • “we learned something important” is an excuse, need to learn early
  • ask what experiment am I trying to run, and what learning can I take from that
  • build > measure > learn loop – minimise time through the loop
  • measurement will slow you down but optimise the part to optimise the whole
  • drive down the batch size to one day – continuous deployment – many features take longer to prioritise than to build
  • The Toyota Way says foundation is long term thinking, the startup way says foundation is accountability
  • brink of success is indistinguishable from goofing off – need innovation accounting
  • business plans are rarely achieved – achieving failure – leap of faith assumptions need to called out
  • build a minimum viable product, iterate experiments and look for upward trends, pivot when returns are diminishing
  • better to have bad news that’s true than good news that’s made up
  • pivot meeting should be a milestone in its own right, need good information to make a good decision – micro scale experiments that help make future decisions
  • lean startup is still early adopter stage

Dr Werner Vogels – The Lean Cloud

Dr. Werner Vogels is the CTO of Amazon.com and opened the startup event. Here are some notes from his session.

From Miscellaneous
  • Animoto – upload images and music, analyses the music and creates a movie around the mood – went from 15 to 5000 servers in a number of days
  • web services is now called cloud…
  • Australia is not yet an Amazon Web Servixes (AWS) region – soon? – Asia Pacific region is based in Singapore
  • the number of objects in S3 has increased by 250% per annum consistently over the last 5 years, currently 762 billion
  • cloud is defined by its benefits not its technology
  • scaling is as much about using the Cloud to scale down as it is to scaling up
  • lowers cost – eliminate CAPEX, reduce OPEX
  • increase agility – not constrained by resources(eg. waiting for or buying servers), reduce time to market
  • remove heavy lifting – like scalability, security, reliability
  • foundation for next generation architecture, infrastructure cost should grow with your income
  • resource models changing due to competition, limited capital, power of customers, faster time to market
  • lean manufacturing – the machine that changed the world, lean startup
  • remove waste that does lead to direct value for the customer
  • an elastic and pay-per-use infrastructure – follow their demands to eliminate waste for peaks in traffic
  • AWS makes deployment, testing and staging trivial – tools for red-green deployment for example
  • need to build security in from the ground up when building a cloud application – lots of tools available
  • advantage of AWS is you are on a continuous innovation curve
  • DynamoDB – uses low latency SSD, predictable performance, zero administration NoSQL – database is no longer the bottleneck
  • no need to have your own transcoding anymore, it all sits on the cloud

8 Securities /  Q&A Panel

8 Securities gave an overview of their use of AWS ahead of a short lean cloud panel.

From Miscellaneous
  • are all the lessons US lessons? No, early on some cultures said this would not work, particularly admitting failure, the grass is not greener in Silicon Valley, understand the underlying principles, figure out how to translate strengths and build on the Lean startup principles
  • there is a new book by Jeffrey Liker who wrote The Toyota Way (The Toyota Way to Lean Leadership) – Toyota  has translated the approach to as many plants in the USA
  • need to communicate and connect with your employees – we are still solving simple problems
  • good thing about having a small amount of customers is that when you screw up you can apologise… personally
From Miscellaneous

Episode 20: Lean Start-ups with Joshua Kerievsky

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Joshua KerievskyJoshua Kerievsky, founder of Industrial Logic spends time with Craig and Renee going through some of his elements of his Lean Start-up presentation at the YOW! Developer Conference in Brisbane.

Within this podcast we learn what exactly a Lean Start-up is and how it isn’t just for new entrepreneurs.

In addition to the Lean Start-up presentation Josh also did a fantastic presentation on the Limited Red Society which focuses on using metrics and visualisation of these to behaviourally change a developer so that their tests pass sooner and more often with less compilation errors.

Other than being an early pioneer in eXtreme Programming, he is also the author of the best-selling Refactoring to Patterns book and provides Agile training from an amazing technical depth of experience.

TheAgileRevolution-20 (26 minutes)

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Episode 14: Quoting Agile, Lean & Kanban

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Quotable KanbanCraig, Tony and Renee talk about Lean Startups, Tony’s Agile training in India and great places to work, discuss Quotable Kanban and solve a listener problem, all in 50 minutes!

Renee also mentioned Kanban by David J. Anderson, Craig mentioned Kanban and Scrum: Making The Most of Both by Henrik Kniberg and Tony not to be outdone mentioned Lean From The Trenches (Beta) by Henrik Kniberg

Problem Bag:

We have a Product Mgr who’s supportive of Agile in theory, but wont do the work we need him to do. How do we…

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